Tuesday, March 6, 2012

The Story of Massachusetts.


Home state for Mitt Romney.

41 delegates,out of which 38 are awarded proportionately based on statewide vote share and the rest, are automatic, unbound delegates.

Mitt Romney should have no trouble in the Bay State, where he has lived for more than 25 years and served as governor from 2003 to 2007, and with delegates awarded on a statewide basis he needn’t even worry about any congressional districts being picked off.

But as he learned with his 10 point win in 2008, proportional delegate distribution can be a bugger. Despite getting skunked, John McCain still got 18 delegates to Romney’s 22. There’s been no reliable polling on the state, but Romney can be happy about how this year’s race has shaped up for Massachusetts voters.. McCain took his votes away from Romney mostly among the most moderate Republicans in and immediately around Boston. These are not likely Santorum or Gingrich votes.

If Romney can clear 60 percent of the vote and Santorum is the only other candidate over 15 percent, as seems likely, he might take 30 of 38 delegates.

Bottomline - Massachusetts is going to be a cakewalk for Romney. As Simple as that!

Mohit Dayal


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